The Bartering System: Week 5

This article will feature players that are worth bartering or trading each week. One of the best things about fantasy football is making that perfect trade that sets you up for several wins down the road. Trading fantasy football players is no different than trying to trade stock on the actual stock market. The best way to execute that trade is to invest in a player when there stock is low, and dispose of players when their stock is high. The key element in this is recognizing what players tend to keep constant at their stock level, and rack up on the ones who hold an above average stock level constantly. The opposite is also true; try to limit the players that you have who hold a below average stock level constantly. The trick is to flip these below average players when they perform well for a few weeks, and collect the players who underperform their usual constant level over that same time. It’s easier than it sounds if you just follow the advice below.

Invest Low: (Players to invest in while their stock is lower)

Quarterbacks:

Tom Brady (New England Patriots): It seems odd that he should be an invest low at this point. Likely the Tom Brady owner in your league has sat on him for four long weeks and may be reluctant to give him up! The whole point of the “Bartering System” is identifying when players are at their highest and at their lowest to get the most value from them. I believe that Brady is at his lowest right now. Once he hits the field he will become a top 3 QB week in and week out, and you will have to pay that price for him. You may be able to get him a little cheaper this week before he actually hits the field.

Running Backs:

Lamar Miller (Houston Texans): Miller is a 10 point machine. Every week he has been somewhere around 100 total yards of offense and no touchdowns, and left you wanting more than just the 10 points he offered. Miller will find the endzone soon and that will boost his outlook. He does have two tough games over the next three weeks, facing Minnesota and Denver. It is likely he could struggle in those games, and his invest low status would only become greater. After that three game stretch he has a very favorable schedule to end the year.

CJ Anderson (Denver Broncos): Anderson will get back on track this week against Atlanta so the window for his buying opportunity will likely close quick. Anderson started the season with a bang, but has faced two tough run defenses in the last two weeks. His schedule lightens significantly and he could become the #1 back in fantasy football.

Wide Receivers:

Amari Cooper (Oakland Raiders): Cooper has been overshadowed by Michael Crabtree this week, and for good reason. Cooper owners may be questioning their stock with what most believe to be the emergence of Crabtree. The truth is that Crabtree has put up better numbers for the last 16 games dating all the way back to Week 4 of last year. We highlighted this in our Monday’s Reflections article. Yet, over those 16 weeks, Cooper has still been really good. His price is probably as low as it gets right now compared to his teammate.

Randall Cobb (Green Bay Packers): I mentioned Cobb last week before the Packers went on bye. Everything I said is still true this week. It’s almost unimaginable that the Packers could score 34 points, Aaron Rodgers throw for four touchdowns, and Randall Cobb only have one catch for 33 yards. That’s what happened last Sunday. Randall Cobb will have to be more involved in this offense if they want to make it far into the playoffs and I think Sunday’s game was more of a fluke than a trend. If the Packers offense stays hot, Randall Cobb will eventually too.

Tight Ends:

Gary Barnidge (Cleveland Browns): Barnidge will continue to find more use when Josh McCown returns to the lineup. Tight End has been a dicey position all year and Barnidge has proven that with McCown at the helm that he can be a top 5 player at the position. Nothing has changed this year. Put in offers for him before McCown returns.

Delanie Walker (Tennessee Titans ): The Titans tight end has suffered from injury and poor quarterback play. Yet, he is still one of the few tight ends in the league that you could count on to produce solid TE1 numbers. He was hurt two weeks ago and was extremely ineffective last week, with favorable matchups on the horizon, he can probably be purchased relatively cheap now and provide excellent return.

Dispose High: (Players to dispose while their stock is higher)

Quarterbacks:

Matt Ryan (Atlanta Falcons): Matt Ryan is the #2 QB in all of fantasy football. People have waited a long time for that to be true. He has had high expectations and great weapons his whole career and has never seemed to put it together until now. With that said I tell you to sell, sell now. He has faced Tampa Bay, Oakland, and New Orleans which are three of the worst secondaries in all of the NFL. This past week he torched a young Carolina secondary on the way to his record setting day in Atlanta. Quarterbacks are the easiest players to replace on rosters and if you can trade Ryan for a solid return then I would make the move. In the next two weeks he gets Seattle and Denver. His numbers should significantly drop. If you can dispose of him now for a solid return, do so!

Running Backs:

Matt Jones (Washington Redskins): Matt Jones is coming off a game where he rushed the ball 22 times for 117 yards and a touchdown. That was only the second time in his career he has topped 100 yards in a single game. In fact, this past week and week 2 of 2015 are the only times Matt Jones has ever rushed for over 66 yards in a game. The Redskins are a pass first team and right now is probably the most value that you will ever get out of Matt Jones.

Carlos Hyde (San Francisco 49ers): Carlos Hyde is very similar to Matt Jones, except he is in an offense that likes to run the football, which bodes well for him. Believe it or not Carlos Hyde has also only rushed for over 100 yards twice in his career. In week 3 this year and week 1 of 2015 he accomplished those feats. Coming off of 3 touchdowns in the last two games, teams will start to stack the box and make Blaine Gabbert beat them and Hyde will probably be back close to his career average of 44 yards per game on the ground. That’s right he averages just 44 yards on the ground per game throughout his career. Sell now while people think he is a legit top 10 back.

Tevin Coleman (Atlanta Falcons): I added Coleman to this list last week. Hopefully you took advantage of that and sold him before his rough week. Here is what I said last week. Coleman’s carries have decreased over the last three games. He also won’t have another three touchdown game this season. It reminds me of a year ago when his backfield mate Devonta Freeman broke out, and then slowly re-entered the earths atmosphere the rest of the season posting below average numbers. Freeman will still continue to get a majority of the workload, and he honestly looked better on Monday night. Coleman’s stock will never be higher. So far that has proven to be true, as last week he had 11 touches for only 33 yards. You may not get as much for him as you could have last week, but now is still the time to move him.

Wide Receivers:

Will Fuller V (Houston Texans): In hindsight Fuller may be the real deal and shouldn’t be on this list. The rookie has 19 catches for 332 yards and two touchdowns through the air to go along with one on a punt return. He is producing wide receiver #1 numbers for the Texans. If you believe that DeAndre Hopkins should soon assume his normal workload, then Fuller’s numbers will drop. Fuller has at least proven that he is more than a deep route guy that most thought he was coming out of college. I would hold on to Fuller unless I can flip him for a legit #1 RB or WR. Although, with the numbers that Fuller has put up so far, you might just be able to do that.

Brian Quick (LA Rams), Dontrelle Inman (San Diego Chargers), Eddie Royal (Chicago Bears): Here is the skinny on any all of these guys. They are each coming off of huge weeks and had practically none coming into this week. Therefore, if you can flip one of these guys for anything worth value at all it would be worth making the move.

Tight Ends:

Martellus Bennett (New England Patriots): I get it, in week 2 and week 3 Bennett was very productive. He topped 100 yards in both of those games on only 6 targets. One would figure with Brady coming back Bennett stock will only rise, which is true. Yet, with the return of Brady likely comes the return of Rob Gronkowski who will significantly eat into any gains Bennett was going to add. If Gronkowski stays hurt then Bennett’s value rises, but selling him now will give you the best return you can get from him all season. I get that it is a gamble because he could be a solid TE1 without Gronk, but he will be relegated to bench duty on your fantasy team with Gronk on the field. It is a chance that I am willing to take to get a solid return.

As always, please feel free to give us a shout on Twitter @No_HuddleFFB if you have any questions or concerns regarding your lineup or just want to chat about fantasy football. Best of luck this week!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s