Managing Your Money: Week 11

by Byron Hamilton

Due to scheduling conflicts with the job that actually pays me, I won’t be able to put together my typical in depth analysis of each player featured this week. I’ll do my best to give you a good idea of what’s going through my mind, and what plays I think will pay off the biggest for you this week. Things will be back to normal next week!

Side note: the values and scoring we use are from Draft Kings. I prefer them for two reasons. They utilize PPR scoring and have an additional flex spot on the roster with no kickers. Everyone hates kickers.


Quarterbacks:

Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints

Value – $7,600

Brees has been one of the best fantasy quarterbacks this season, and I see him replicating his success this week against the Panthers. Yes, he’s on the road. However, Brees put up season high numbers against Carolina back in week six. I think he does it again this week.

Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers 

Matchup – $7,500

Big Ben played like Big Ben last week in his second game back from injury. Any top tier quarterback is worth a look against the worst team in the league, the Cleveland Browns. Frankly, I’m fitting in Steelers players this week anywhere I can.

Marcus Mariota – Tennessee Titans 

Value – $6,700

This kid has been on a tear over the last couple of weeks and has thrown for multiple touchdowns in every game since week four against the Texans. Mariota faces a Colts defense that ranks 28th against quarterbacks this season. He’s got huge upside at a decent price tag.

Tyrod Taylor – Buffalo Bills

Value – $5,600

Taylor has had his moments where he’s looked like a top tier quarterback this season, but it’s been entirely matchup based. I like his matchup this week against the Bengals, and at only $5,600 he’s got a solid floor at a low price.

Hail Mary:

Blake Bortles – Jacksonville Jaguars 

Value – $5,400

I’m putting Bortles as a Hail Mary play simply because I don’t trust the guy this season. He’s looked decent over the last few weeks and has a VERY advantageous matchup against the Lions this week. This could be a shootout. He’s an inexpensive option with a lot of upside.


Running Backs:

Le’Veon Bell – Pittsburgh Steelers

Value – $8,800

You’re going to pay for this one this week, but Bell against is the Browns is too juicy to ignore. Ezekiel Elliott tore Cleveland up a couple of weeks ago, and Le’Veon is much more involved in the passing game. He could be the top scoring running back this week.

DeMarco Murray – Tennessee Titans 

Value – $8,200

Murray has scored over 21 points in every game but one this season. The Colts are 24th in the league against running backs. No brainer here.

LeSean McCoy – Buffalo Bills

Value – $6,900

After a week off to heal up Shady is under $7,000 this week against the 23rd ranked defense against running backs. He had a four-game stretch before he got injured where he scored 20 or more fantasy points. I think he gets back there this week.

LeGarrette Blount – New England Patriots 

Value – $6,400

Again, no hesitation here. Blount scored three touchdowns last week against the Seahawks, and New England should blow San Francisco out this week. Look for Blount to get a lot of work in a game where the Patriots should when comfortably.

Hail Mary:

James Starks – Green Bay Packers 

Value – $4,200

I think this may be one of the last weeks we see Starks hold much value. With the recent signing of Christine Michael, I’m assuming the Packers will want to work him in as soon as possible. Michael won’t see much work this work this week, and Washington has given up a good amount of points to opposing running backs this season.


Wide Receivers:

TY Hilton – Indianapolis Colts

Value – $7,700

Hilton is falling into the “every other week” pattern. He sort of bounced back last week after a terrible showing against the Chiefs two games back. This week he faces a Titans secondary that ranks 29th against his position at home. I expect 20-30 fantasy points.

Allen Robinson – Jacksonville Jaguars 

Value – $7,400

With Blake Bortles’ looking like a decent quarterback over the last few weeks it makes sense to look at Robinson as well. He’s coming off a 30 point game and faces the Lions this week. This game could put up a lot of points.

Davante Adams – Green Bay Packers

Value – $6,700

Adams has emerged as the clear number two receiver in this offense behind Jordy Nelson. The Redskins should make it a priority to slow Nelson down, and I think he sees a lot of attention from Josh Norman this week. Adams should continue to see a lot of targets come his way from Aaron Rodgers.

Tyreek Hill – Kansas City Chiefs

Value – $4,500

We finally saw what Hill can do with a full workload last week, and he had more yards against Carolina than Jeremy Maclin has had in a single game all season. He’s the best receiving option the Chiefs have and should continue to see work against Tampa Bay if Maclin remains limited.

Hail Mary:

Cameron Meredith – Chicago Bears

Value – $4,100

Meredith salvaged what was otherwise a nonexistent performance with a Hail Mary touchdown pass from Jay Cutler at the end of the first half last week. With Alshon Jeffrey suspended, Meredith and Eddie Royal are the only two semi-reliable fantasy wide receiver options on this team. He’s worth a flier if you’re feeling lucky.


Tight Ends:

Jordan Reed – Washington Redskins

Value – $5,900

Reed struggled last Sunday against the Vikings, but I like his matchup against the Packers this week. He’s only two weeks removed from a 25 point outing against the Bengals and should get back on track against the 26th ranked defense against tight ends.

Delanie Walker – Tennessee Titans 

Value – $5,700

Marcus Mariota has been on fire, so it makes sense Delanie Walker would be showing his stuff as well. He had over 30 fantasy points against Green Bay last week and will face an Indianapolis defense he worked for 84 yards and a touchdown a few games back.

CJ Fiedorowicz – Houston Texans

Value – $3,300

Fiedorowicz had a quiet week against the Jaguars, but so did the Texans passing game in general as Osweiler didn’t surpass 100 yards through the air. I think he’ll get back into the end zone this week against a Raiders team that should put up enough points to make Houston turn to the passing game early.

Greg Olsen – Carolina Panthers 

Value – $6,500

Olsen has been up and down over the last few games, but he faces the Saints at home this week. He racked up 94 yards against them earlier in the season, and you’d have to think the Panthers will want payback after the disappointing loss to New Orleans back in week six.

Hail Mary:

Cameron Brate – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

Value – $3,800

Brate has emerged as Jameis Winston’s favorite target outside of Mike Evans. He’s scored a touchdown in three straight games and had 84 yards against the Bears last week. The Chiefs are a tougher test, but Brate’s involvement in the offense and cheap price tag make him a viable DFS option.


Who I’m Stacking:

Andrew Luck/TY Hilton – Indianapolis Colts

Total Value – $14,900

Luck was underwhelming against the Packers, but I think he gets back on track this week against a Titans defense he shredded for 353 yards and three touchdowns a few short weeks ago. Hilton had his third best fantasy performance of the season against Tennessee in that game as well, and I see the dynamic duo putting up big numbers again this week.

Aaron Rodgers/Jordy Nelson/Devante Adams – Green Bay Packers 

Total Value – $15,400/$14,300

The Packers passing game has been on a roll even if their record doesn’t show it. Rodgers has been consistent, and Jordy Nelson has been playing like a number one wide receiver over the last few weeks. Adams is slightly less reliable than Nelson but has been heavily involved in the offense as well and is a cheaper option. I think both have a shot to put up some solid numbers.

Hail Mary:

Russell Wilson/Doug Baldwin – Seattle Seahawks 

Total Value – $11,800

Wilson has finally been coming along over the last couple of games and has over 26 fantasy points in the last two contests. He and Baldwin hooked up for three touchdowns against the Patriots last week, and it brought back memories of last year’s late-season surge. The Eagles will be a tough test, but Wilson and Baldwin have a chance to put up some solid numbers this week at a discount.


Steals of the Week:

Jordan Howard – Chicago Bears

Value – $5,800

The rookie was on his way to another big performance against Tampa Bay but only saw two carries in the second half after experiencing some tightness in his foot. He had 100 yards on 15 carries before exiting the game, so there’s no concern regarding his performance. He seems good to go this week against the Giants and is arguably the best playmaker the Bears have left. His $5,800 price point is too intriguing to ignore.

CJ Prosise – Seattle Seahawks 

Value – $4,200

With Christine Michael gone I think this is Prosise’s backfield this week. Thomas Rawls has a shot to play, but you have to assume he won’t see a ton of work in his first game back. The rookie had 153 total yards against the Patriots last week and was utilized often in the passing game. The matchup against the Eagles isn’t great, but at $4,200 he’s an inexpensive option with a ton of upside.

 


I hope you all enjoy reading this as much as I enjoy writing it each week. I’m truly passionate about fantasy football and love any opportunity to share my opinions with you. As always, hit us up @No_HuddleFFB on Twitter for any questions you might have. Get rich this week!!!

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