Managing Your Money – DFS Guide Week 12

You may have noticed we took a week off last week. Due to scheduling conflicts and real life duties there was simply no way for me to find the time to type up this column. We’re back on track heading into week 12, and we’ve got some intriguing games on the slate. Considering Thanksgiving is only a day away, now is a good time to prepare your lineups before the turkey coma sets in. Let’s take a look and see if we can pick some winners this week!
Side note: the values and scoring we use are from Draft Kings. I prefer them for two reasons. They utilize PPR scoring and have an additional flex spot on the roster with no kickers. Everyone hates kickers.
Quarterbacks:
Russell Wilson – Seattle Seahawks 

Value – $7,000
Russell Wilson’s late season heroics are becoming a normal occurrence for this guy. I feel like every year the Seahawks get off to a slow start and then kick things into high gear as the playoffs come into view. Wilson was incredible on Monday night against Atlanta as he found the end zone three times and threw for 258 yards. This marks the seventh time in eight games Wilson has thrown for multiple touchdowns, and he’s scored less than 19 points just once in that span. I’m all in this week considering San Francisco is 26th in the league against quarterbacks. 
Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers 

Value – $6,800
I’ll admit this one makes me a little nervous. Big Ben has been just flat out bad at times this season, which is evident if you recall his five interception fiasco against Jacksonville earlier in the year. That being said, Roethlisberger is coming off his highest scoring game of the year. He threw for 299 yards and four touchdowns against Tennessee last week and looked much more like the player we know. I feel comfortable rolling him out again this week in a home matchup against the 24th ranked defense against quarterbacks. 
Marcus Mariota – Tennessee Titans 

Value – $6,300 
Similar to Roethlisberger, I’m a little apprehensive about Mariota this week. While he did throw four interceptions against Pittsburgh last week, Marcus Mariota actually had more fantasy points than any other game so far this season. This offense in general has been incredibly disappointing when you think about the expectations heading into the year, and it’s surprising that turnovers have turned into such an issue for their franchise quarterback. All that being said, the Titans face an Indianapolis defense this week that’s second to last in the league against quarterbacks. Mariota is worth a chance based on the matchup alone. 

Cam Newton – Carolina Panthers 

Value – $6,600
I said this earlier in the season about Cam Newton so hopefully it doesn’t come back to haunt me again, but Carolina’s offense finally seems to be clicking after struggling earlier this season. Newton is coming off his second best statistical performance of the year after he threw for 254 yards and completed four touchdown passes against the Dolphins last week. In addition to being efficient through the air, the former MVP has also rushed for at least 85 yards in the last two contests. While the Jets have been better than anyone could have predicted, I still like Cam’s chances at putting up decent numbers this week considering his recent success. 
Hail Mary play:
Tyrod Taylor – Buffalo Bills

Value – $5,800
I think it’s safe to say that Nathan Peterman won’t be getting the starting nod over Tyrod Taylor again anytime soon. The rookie was absolutely abysmal last week completing six passes while being intercepted five times. That’s got to be some sort of record. Tyrod Taylor had an admirable performance after taking over in the second half against the Chargers, but there was just no way Buffalo was making a comeback. Taylor finished the day with 158 passing yards and scored a touchdown both through the air and on the ground. He’s an intriguing option this week against a vulnerable Chiefs secondary and is very affordable. If he manages to put up 20 points or more, then he provides enough value to help round out your lineup at other positions. 
Running backs:
Kareem Hunt – Kansas City Chiefs

Value – $8,000
Ok, this is a last ditch effort here. To say that Kareem Hunt’s production has been going downhill would be an understatement. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still putting up serviceable numbers. The rookie just isn’t filling the stat sheet the way he was earlier in the season. While his 18 carries and 73 yards were respectable against the Giants last week, he only caught three passes for a season low four yards. My hope here is that he can turn things around against the Bills. Buffalo has given up an average of 41 points in the last three games and is ranked 31st in the NFL against the running back position. If Kansas City’s offense doesn’t start clicking again this week, then there may be no hope left. 
Alvin Kamara – New Orleans Saints

Matchup – Los Angeles Rams
How great has this kid been? When you think about it, Alvin Kamara is a major reason why Adrian Peterson lasted less than a full season in New Orleans. The rookie out of Tennessee has been a PPR gold mine this season and is currently on an absolute tear as he’s scored at least 12 fantasy points in eight consecutive games. Further more, he’s found the end zone five times in the last four games. Both Mark Engram and Kamara are thriving in their respective roles, but I’ll take the youngster this week at a discount over his teammate. This matchup between two explosive offenses could turn into a shootout. 
Orleans Darkwa – New York Giants 

Value – $4,600
Orleans Darkwa has quietly asserted himself as the lead running back in the Giants offense over the last several weeks. The Paul Perkins show debuted and ended rather quickly, and rookie Wayne Galman isn’t seeing enough carries to be very relevant. In the last games Darkwa has rushed for at least 65 yards in all but one contest and has seen at least 14 carries in the last three weeks. While scoring touchdowns isn’t exactly New York’s strongest attribute this season, this offense is leaning on Darkwa to take some pressure off Eli Manning. I like him against the Redskins this week as a strong value play. 
Samaje Perine – Washington Redskins

Value – $5,000
Samaje Perine is officially the last man standing in Washington’s backfield. At one point the Redskins boasted what looked like a three headed monster at running back, but injuries have shut that down completely. The rookie out of Oklahoma had the best game of his young career last week against the Saints as he ran the ball 23 times for 117 yards and scored a touchdown. This week’s matchup against the Giants doesn’t look great on paper for Perine, but at this point he is literally Washington’s only option at running back. I think he’s a steal at only $5,000 considering his potential workload. 
Hail Mary play:
Damien Williams – Miami Dolphins 

Value – $4,300
It’s been the Kenyan Drake show in Miami for the most part since Jay Ajayi was sent to Philadelphia. However, last week was Damien Williams’ time to shine. He was able to scrap together over 100 total yards and looked great on a long 69 yard run. The reason Williams is a long shot is because we simply do not know what the touches are going to look like for these two running backs. I am going to go ahead and assume that Miami’s defense will struggle to keep up with Tom Brady on the road this week. That is going to play to Williams’ favor as the pass catching back in this offense if the Dolphins have to play catch up. He’s a bargain if he’s targeted out of the backfield. 
Wide receivers:
Deandre Hopkins – Houston Texans

Value – $7,300
Isn’t it crazy what a quarterback change can do for a wide receiver? Deandre Hopkins was disappointing last season, but just about all of that blame can be put squarely on the shoulders of Brock Osweiler. Hopkins was thriving with Deshaun Watson before his injury and has shown no signs of slowing down since Tom Savage has entered the mix. It’s obvious that Savage realizes his best bet is to get the ball to his best receiver, so Hopkins should see plenty of targets even against a tough Ravens secondary. Nuk has put up less than 17 fantasy points just once in the last seven games and is one of the most consistent receivers in the game right now. Don’t let the matchup scare you. 
Jarvis Landry – Miami Dolphins

Value – $6,800
We all know Jarvis Landry’s game. He’s not the type of player that’s going to see many shots down the field. He’s going to get peppered with targets and rack up points 5 to 10 yards at a time which isn’t necessarily a bad thing in PPR formats. Landry has only seen less than ten targets in a game twice this entire season. What’s been surprising is his sudden nose for the end zone. The LSU product has scored a touchdown in six out of the last seven games and has thrived with both Matt Moore and Jay Cutler under center. Considering this matchup with New England has blow out written all over it, Landry is a pretty safe pick. 
Robby Anderson – New York Jets

Value – $5,700
By now you all should know that I’m all about consistency when it comes to daily fantasy leagues. Random breakout games do happen, but those are always impossible to predict. Robby Anderson has been the model of consistency for the Jets over the last five weeks. He’s had at least ten fantasy points in every game during that span and is easily Josh McCown’s favorite target at this point. On top of that, Anderson has scored a touchdown in four consecutive games. Carolina’s offense is finally clicking, so you have to think they’re going to put up some points on their home turf. Fingers crossed that Anderson is as involved in the offense as he’s been the last several weeks. 
Zay Jones – Buffalo Bills

Value – $4,000
By all accounts this should be considered a dart throw, and I’m sure everyone thinks I’m crazy for putting a Bills receiver on my list this week. Stay with me here though. Buffalo’s offense is an absolute train wreck. We saw Nathan Peterman fall flat on his face last week, and Tyrod Taylor essentially supplanted himself as the quarterback of this offense moving forward. That’s an upgrade to players like Jones who have recently been more involved in this offense. The rookie has back to back ten point games and has seen at least seven targets in three out of the last four games. Jones scored his first touchdown a few weeks ago, and could be the primary receiver in this offense if Kelvin Benjamin has to sit this one out. I’m assuming the Chiefs will put up some points in this one, so Jones is a gamble that could pay off. We’re hoping for at least 15 points here. 
Tight ends:
Evan Engram – New York Giants 

Value – $6,100
Man, did Evan Engram fall off the map last week or what? I’m not naive enough to think this kid wasn’t ever going to have a bad game again, but one catch for nine yards is a much sharper drop off than I expected. Considering the matchup between Kansas City and New York was one of the worst offensive football games of the season it’s expected that the rookie wouldn’t exactly fill the stat sheet up. That being said, Engram found the end zone in four consecutive games prior to last week. He should be able to get back on track this week against the Redskins. 
Jimmy Graham – Seattle Seahawks 

Value – 5,800
I’m a little surprised that Jimmy Graham isn’t more expensive. I understand that while San Francisco’s defense isn’t great, they’ve actually been very stingy against opposing tight ends. I’m not letting that scare me away though. Graham has been on a hot streak, and the veteran tight end has scored double digit fantasy points in eight straight games. Combine that with the fact the he’s scored seven touchdowns in his last six contests, and this one seems like an easy decision. Full speed ahead here. 
Jared Cook – Oakland Raiders 

Value – $4,600
There’s one strategy I’ve been using this season that’s been paying off pretty well at times, which is playing tight ends against the Broncos. While Denver’s defense isn’t quite the juggernaut we’ve seen in past seasons, they’ve still been formidable in most games. Jared Cook has been up and down all season, and Oakland’s offense is not the high powered scoring machine many believed they’d be this year. That being said, Cook has two 100 yard games in the last four weeks. Combine that with the fact that Denver is 29th in the league against tight ends, and we might have a recipe for success here. 
Charles Clay – Buffalo Bills

Value – $4,100
Charles Clay was on track to have one of the best seasons of his career before injuring his knee back in week five. He’s been relatively quiet in his first two games back on the field, but a big game should be on the horizon. If you watched last week’s slaughter of the Bills at the hand of the Chargers, then you’ll know that Clay very easily could have scored two touchdowns, but he dropped one and the other was called back by a penalty. This isn’t the best matchup, but the Chiefs are still middle of the road when it comes defending opposing tight ends. This could be the week Clay gets back on track with Tyrod Taylor back under center as the starting quarterback. 
Hail Mary play:
Ed Dickson – Carolina Panthers 

Value – $3,100
Ed Dickson has been mostly quiet since his 175 yard explosion against the Lions back in week five, which isn’t really all that surprising. I’m banking on the hope that Carolina’s offense is finally back on track, which is evident from Cam Newton’s huge performance before their bye last week. Dickson caught three passes on five targets for 33 yards and a touchdown in that contest. He’s certainly a gamble but could pay off if he finds the end zone again this week considering his expensive price point. 
Who I’m Stacking:
Russell Wilson/Doug Baldwin – Seattle Seahawks 

Value – $14,000
I’ve already stated my case for Russell Wilson. If there’s wide receiver you’re stacking with him it’s going to be Doug Baldwin. He’s without a doubt Wilson’s favorite target, and these two have excellent chemistry. Baldwin has just two games where he less than double digit fantasy points and both players have a fantastic matchup against San Francisco this week. This should be a game where both players put up strong numbers. 
Kirk Cousins/Jamison Crowder – Washington Redskins

Value – $12,500
This was the stretch of the season where Kirk Cousins was supposed to implode. While the Seahawks did hold him check, Cousins performed admirably against both the Vikings and Saints in back to back weeks. He’s thrown for more than 300 yards in four out of the last six games and has thrown ten touchdowns during that span. Here’s where it gets tricky. My gut call here was to pair him with Vernon Davis, who has been fairly consistent in place of Jordan Reed. However, Jamison Crowder is finally getting targets from his quarterback and is quietly looking like the player we thought he’d be entering the season. Crowder has been targeted no less than eight times in the last three games and has at least 70 yards in those three contests. It may seem like a dice roll, but I have to think Washington rolls over the Giants this week. 
Hail Mary play:
Eli Manning/Sterling Shepard – New York Giants

Value – $12,100
First of all, it’s ridiculous that Sterling Shepard is this expensive. I realize that this kid is all they have left at wide receiver and went off for over 100 yards a few weeks back, but a $7,000 price tag is just crazy to me. It literally physically hurt my fingers to type Eli Manning on here, but there’s a reason this is a Hail Mary play. Manning has put up double digit points just twice in five games. That would be ok if Eli Manning was a running back, but the quarterback position is the highest scoring position in fantasy football. This is a complete dart throw. In fact, I advise against it. But crazier things have happened, and I love Sterling Shepard this week as long as he suits up. 
Steal of the Week:
Devontae Booker – Denver Broncos

Value – $3,700
Consider this one a borderline Hail Mary play. This feels a lot like last season to me. CJ Anderson is struggling, and Booker is slowly getting more and more touches. What’s surprising to me is that Booker has suddenly turned into the pass catcher in this offense after Denver snagged Jamaal Charles. This is a toss up between CJ Anderson and Booker, but I think Booker is the better play here. Fingers crossed. 

I hope you all enjoy reading this as much as I enjoy writing it each week. I’m truly passionate about fantasy football and love any opportunity to share my opinions with you. As always, hit us up @No_HuddleFFB on Twitter for any questions you might have. Get rich this week!!!

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