Managing Your Money – DFS Guide Week 13

Overall we had a pretty solid showing last week. Russell Wilson looked like a complete bust until he came alive in the second half. The one-two punch of Alvin Kamara and Samaje Perine would’ve got you around 50 points alone. Then we had the trio of Deandre Hopkins, Jarvis Landry, and Robby Anderson with the last one absolutely exploding against the Panthers. Hopefully we can string together another winning lineup this week. Let’s make some money!

Side note: the values and scoring we use are from Draft Kings. I prefer them for two reasons. They utilize PPR scoring and have an additional flex spot on the roster with no kickers. Everyone hates kickers.

Quarterbacks:

Russell Wilson – Seattle Seahawks

Value – $7,100

I’ll admit I was nervous watching Seattle square off against Chicago last week. Russell Wilson threw an interception on the first play of the game, and the offense looked lackluster for basically the entire first quarter. Luckily, Wilson was able to turn things around and finished with 228 passing yards with three total touchdowns. This marks the fourth time in the last six weeks that Wilson has found the end zone at least three times, and there’s no denying the playmaking ability this guy has. While Philadelphia will pose a tough challenge, Wilson has performed well against some solid defenses down the stretch. Keep riding him while he’s hot.

Phillip Rivers – Los Angeles Chargers

Value – $7,000

Don’t look now, but Phillip Rivers is stringing together some solid performances lately. The veteran quarterback has thrown for at least 230 yards and two touchdowns in each of the last three games, but the clinic he put on against Dallas on Thanksgiving was most impressive. Rivers threw for a whopping 434 yards and three touchdowns in an absolute beat down of the Cowboys. While I don’t expect him to throw for over 400 yards again, Rivers has an advantageous matchup this week against a Cleveland defense that’s ranked 24th against quarterbacks. He should be worth the price tag.

Case Keenum – Minnesota Vikings

Value – $6,000

Case Keenum has been a welcome surprise to Vikings fans everywhere this year. In what otherwise could have been a disastrous, injury riddled season, Keenum has put this team on his shoulders and had led them to victory week in and week out. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns in three out of the last four games and picked apart Detroit last week for 282 yards and three total touchdowns. At only $6,000, I think he’s a steal this week. Minnesota will travel to face off against the Falcons in what could turn out to be a high scoring affair.

Josh McCown – New York Jets

Value – $5,500

Josh McCown has been a surprisingly serviceable fantasy quarterback at times this season. It just so happens that he is coming off his highest scoring week of the season after throwing for 307 yards and three touchdowns against the Panthers in a failed comeback attempt. Considering how low the expectations were for the Jets this past offseason, it’s been a pleasant surprise that this offense as been able to generate so much value from a fantasy football standpoint. This week’s matchup against the Chiefs should allow McCown to outperform his $5,500 price tag.

Hail Mary play:

Blake Bortles – Jacksonville Jaguars

Value – $5,400

This is one I’m really crossing my fingers on. Blake Bortles has had a roller coaster ride of a season with point totals ranging anywhere between three to nearly 30 points in a game. What’s mind boggling about last week’s numbers is the fact that Bortles managed to score almost 24 fantasy points throwing for only 160 yards thanks to a pair of rushing touchdowns. That being said, I’m playing the matchup this week. Bortles is facing a Colts defense that’s currently 29th in the league against quarterbacks this season. If he can manage to put up around 20 points again, then he’s a steal.

Running backs:

Leonard Fournette – Jacksonville Jaguars

Value – $7,800

This has to be the week that Leonard Fournette gets back on track and scores a couple of touchdowns. The rookie was nearly unstoppable in the first half of the season when he found the end zone at least once in each of his first six games. Disciplinary measures and injuries kept him on the shelf up until three weeks ago when he returned to the field and rushed for only 33 yards on 17 carries. He broke the century mark against the Browns afterward but fell off again last week with only 25 yards on the ground. I’m optimistic that this week’s matchup against the Colts will be the antidote Fournette needs. He’s one of my top running backs on the slate.

Dion Lewis – New England Patriots

Value – $5,500

There are certain unwritten rules in fantasy football that are generally accepted as common sense. Don’t play Ben Roethlisberger on the road, target players at home facing struggling defenses, etc. The one rule in breaking here is avoid New England running backs. I’ve managed to do it all season long, and yet here I am endorsing Dion Lewis. That can only mean he’ll flop this week. With that being said, Lewis has been increasingly consistent in recent weeks and has scored at least 15 fantasy points over the last three games. His 112 rushing yards last week against the Dolphins was a season high, and Lewis has found the end zone twice over that span as well. Considering the Patriots square off against Buffalo, who is next to last against running backs, I feel like Lewis is a relatively safe pick this week. Now watch Rex Burkhead dominate the touches.

Jordan Howard – Chicago Bears

Value – $6,500

You’ve got to feel for Jordan Howard. This is an incredibly talented young player stuck in an offense with a rookie quarterback and very little talent outside of the running back position. Chicago got down incredibly early against Philadelphia last week, which resulted in Chicago abandoning the run and allowed Howard to carry the ball seven times for a new season low of six yards. The good news is that the Bears should be more competitive this week against the 49ers, which should result in more carries for Howard. I see a strong bounce back on the horizon.

Jamaal Williams – Green Bay Packers

Value – $4,700

Fair warning, just about everyone and their mother will have Jamaal Williams in their lineups this week. Since Green Bay played Sunday night, all of the prices players on both teams didn’t reflect their performances in that game. This means Williams’ $4,700 price tag does not take into consideration the nearly 30 fantasy points he scored. I liked the rookie quite a bit last week, but I didn’t anticipate 135 total yards and two touchdowns. He should continue to be heavily utilized against Tampa Bay and is a steal at that price.

Hail Mary play:

Isiah Crowell – Cleveland Browns

Value – $4,100

I honestly don’t know why I keep doing this to myself. Just when I finally get on the Crowell train he carries the ball 11 times for 18 yards, so naturally I write him off completely only to watch the guy rack up over 100 yards on 17 touches last week. It’s borderline infuriating. Now that I’ve vented, Isiah Crowell should continue his late season surge this week against the Chargers. Los Angeles is 29th in the league against running backs, so they’re obviously prone to surrendering some points. Crowell has at least 95 total yards in three out of the last four games and has become much more involved in the offense over the second half of the season. Unfortunately, he has just as good a shot as rushing for 18 yards as he does 100.

Wide receivers:

Deandre Hopkins – Houston Texans

Value – $7,300

The general consensus after Deshaun Watson’s injury was that DeAndre Hopkins return to dominance had come to an end. That’s obviously not been the case so far. Hopkins has been on an absolute tear over the last five games and has either scored a touchdown or had at least 110 receiving yards. He’s putting these numbers up despite facing constant double coverage and dealing with below average quarterback play. He’s second only to Antonio Brown in fantasy points per game this season but is somehow the sixth receiver down the board from a pricing standpoint. Play Hopkins and don’t think twice.

Mike Evans – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Value – $7,100

I’m putting Evans on the list this week based on the assumption that Jameis Winston makes his way back onto the field from his shoulder injury. If that doesn’t end up being the case, then I don’t like this play nearly as much. Don’t get me wrong, Evans has played well at times considering the circumstances, but there’s only so much you can expect out of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Green Bay is 29th against wide receivers, so there’s definitely cause for optimism in the matchup. Just keep an eye on Winston’s status heading into this week.

Michael Thomas – New Orleans Saints

Value – $6,900

Michael Thomas has been one of the more consistent wide receivers in the league this season but hasn’t really had many eye popping performances outside of his 117 yard game against Buffalo a few weeks back. Still, he’s scored double digit fantasy points in all but one game this season. However, I think this could be the week he explodes against Carolina. The Panthers are struggling to contain opposing wide receivers this season and just allowed 146 yards and two touchdowns to Robbie Anderson. Thomas has an incredibly safe floor of around 15 points with major upside this week.

Davante Adams – Green Bay Packers

Value – $6,500

Just about every wide receiver for the Packers has struggled with Brett Hundley under center. Davante Adams is the exception there, however. Adams is clearly Hundley’s favorite target, which is clear when you look at the numbers. He’s seen fewer than eight targets only once in the last seven games and has at least 12 fantasy points in all but one game during that span. Adams is on a three game streak where he’s scored two touchdowns and put up 126 receiving yards in the other contest that he didn’t find the end zone in. I’m on the wagon again this week as Green Bay faces a Buccaneers defense that’s dead last in the league against the wide receiver position.

Hail Mary play:

Dede Westbrook – Jacksonville Jaguars

Value – $4,100

Dede Westbrook hasn’t exactly blown many minds in the first two games of his young career. However, he led Jacksonville last week with ten targets and hauled in six of them for 41 yards. Considering his usage he could be in line for a similar workload this week if Allen Hurns can’t make it back onto the field. My hope here is that Indianapolis’ defense should pose a lesser challenge to the Jaguars than the Cardinals were last week. Westbrook is relatively cheap and could pay off if he can do more with the attention he’s been getting from Blake Bortles.

Tight ends:

Travis Kelce – Kansas City Chiefs

Value – $7,000

I’m not usually one to spend big money on a tight end, but I think Travis Kelce bounces back in a big way after a subpar outing against the Bills last week. His three catches for 39 yards resulted in his second worst fantasy total of the season, but before that Kelce had three consecutive games with at least 20 points. Although Alex Smith has struggled, the one thing he’s proven capable of over the last few seasons is finding Travis Kelce down the field. I think he gets back to doing that against a Jets defense that’s struggled to contain tight ends.

Evan Engram – New York Giants

Value – $5,700

I’m giving this one more shot, and the news that the Giants will not play Eli Manning honestly makes me feel a little bit better about Engram’s upside this week. Engram was on a five game streak where he put up 12 or more points in weeks four through ten. Unfortunately, he crashed back down to Earth and has just four catches and 27 yards in the last two contests combined. Geno Smith is a competent enough quarterback to find his rookie tight end against an Oakland defense that’s 27th in the league against opposing tight ends. Fingers crossed on this one.

Delanie Walker – Tennessee Titans

Value – $5,600

We’re all aware of the Titans offensive struggles by this point. People were hailing Marcus Mariota as an MVP candidate before the season, but the Flyin’ Hawaiian has three more interceptions than touchdowns so far this year. While Delanie Walker stalled out in the last few games leading up to Tennessee’s bye, he’s actually been one of the more consistent tight ends down the stretch. The veteran has scored double digit fantasy points in five straight games and is clearly one of Mariota’s favorite targets. He should continue to play at a high level against the Texans this week.

Hunter Henry – Los Angeles Chargers

Value – $4,700

This is a borderline Hail Mary play for me this week. I was all in on Hunter Henry during his three game hot streak beginning back in week five. Unfortunately, he completely fell off the map after that until last week when he hauled in five catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. I’m comfortable rolling the dice here for two reasons. First, Phillip Rivers is playing like a young man as of late. Second, the Chargers face a Browns defense at home that’s second to last in the league against tight ends. You’re essentially hoping for 50 yards and a touchdown here.

Hail Mary play:

Ricky Seals-Jones – Arizona Cardinals

Value – $3,200

Disclaimer: Ricky Seals-Jones had not caught a single pass this season up until two weeks ago against the Texans. However, he has now caught seven passes for 126 yards and three touchdowns over the last two games, one of which came against a stout Jacksonville defense last week. I’m assuming Blaine Gabbert has something to do with the rookie tight end’s recent success. Either way, Seals-Jones is an inexpensive dart throw that could pay off big if he extends his recent success to three straight games. That may be tough against the Rams defense, however.

Who I’m Stacking:

Kirk Cousins/Jamison Crowder – Washington Redskins

Value – $12,600

I’m personally thrilled that I finally have a wide receiver I can confidently pair with Kirk Cousins. I was a big Jamison Crowder fan heading into this season after the departure of Desean Jackson and Pierre Garcon and was certain he’d be one of Cousins’ favorite targets. Unfortunately, it took until the eighth week of the season for that to come to fruition. Crowder now has four straight games with double digit fantasy points, and he absolutely exploded against the Giants last week for seven catches, 141 yards, and a touchdown while seeing ten targets. This was what I’ve been waiting for. Cousins is playing at a high level, and both of these guys have a shot to do some damage against a reeling Cowboys team this week.

Tyrod Taylor/Zay Jones – Buffalo Bills

Value – $10,000

Consider this a Hail Mary play this week. I’ll keep sliding Zay Jones into a lineup or two until he scores less than ten points or his price tag gets too high. The rookie receiver is seeing the majority of Tyrod Taylor’s attention with Kelvin Benjamin out, and I have to assume he’ll be busy in what should be a blowout against New England. Tyrod Taylor should remain the starting quarterback for Buffalo for the foreseeable future, and his mobility gives him added scoring potential. This is a cheap play that could get you around 30-40 points and free up cash at other positions.

Hail Mary play:

Trevor Siemian/Demaryius Thomas – Denver Broncos

Value – $10,100

Whelp, the Paxton Lynch era went about as well as expected. The rookie completed 14 passes for only 41 yards and an interception before getting injured in the third quarter. Afterwards, Trevor Siemian came in to try to lead a comeback against Oakland and finished with 149 yards and two touchdowns. Not too shabby. Demaryius Thomas has been mostly quarterback proof this season as he only has three games where he had less than 11 fantasy points. Siemian is the real wild card here, but he’s cheap enough to take a chance on.

Steal of the Week:

Austin Ekeler – Los Angeles Chargers

Value – $4,200

Melvin Gordon owners everywhere know exactly who Austin Ekeler is after the last five weeks. He’s the undrafted rookie that’s slowly been siphoning touches away from Gordon and has looked impressive at times in doing so. Ekeler has now put up double digit points in four out of the last five games and has scored four touchdowns over that span. His work as a receiver out of the backfield makes him an intriguing option this week as Cleveland has actually been stingy against opposing running backs. If Gordon struggles, then the Chargers could look to the passing game to move the ball. I’m banking on another solid performance from the rookie running back.

I hope you all enjoy reading this as much as I enjoy writing it each week. I’m truly passionate about fantasy football and love any opportunity to share my opinions with you. As always, hit us up @No_HuddleFFB on Twitter for any questions you might have. Get rich this week!!!

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